William Ruto has been duly elected as Kenya's Fifth president.
The situation in Bomas deteriorated rapidly late afternoon. on live TV, there were physical attacks on two "loyal"commissioners. Taking the podium, Wafula Chebukati reported some of his IEBC staff had been arrested. But Chebukati proceeded to declare, stressing his constitutional independence against intimidation.
Results as read:
Raila Odinga 6,942,930 (48.85%), met the national distribution of support roles
William Ruto 7,176,141 (50.49%), met the national distribution of support rules
Mwaure 31,987 (0.23%)
Wajackoyah 61,969 (0.44%)
"I Wafula Chebukati...hereby declares that Ruto William Samoei ... has been duly elected as the president of the Republic of Kenya".
He won 50.5% to 48.8%, 173K votes and 1.6% ahead.
My eve-of-poll prediction (scroll well down) was 51-52% for Ruto to 48-49% for Raila so - though it is irrelevant already - Im feeling like my year of preparation work was worth it.
Ruto: "There is no room for vengeance, there is no room to look back....we must close ranks and work together". "It is God who has brought us this victory."
When we get the remaining constituency presidential results I will update all the analysis one more time. But here is the regional analysis minus those 3 and the last 40 verifications
Turnout: a couple of anomalies and clear vote suppression in Mombasa due to the delay to the gubernatorial election. but on the whole it looks good.