Snatching Defeat from the Jaws of Victory

The announcement of the winner was due at 1, then 3, and 5 pm just passed. The mood of the room in Bomas has changed from smiles to frowns and sadness, though everyone is staying. The rumour is that the Azimio team are refusing to accept or sign the form 34C confirming their defeat, and that some IEBC commissioners are backing them (though why is unknown). This is very serious if true. Four commissioners (all new 'handshake era" appointees) just alleged at Serena Hotel that there is something wrong ("opaque") in the final presidential tally though they have not been able to explain what has happened. Three commissioners including Chebukati are supportive of announcing Ruto's victory. It seems Chebukati was coming out to announce the results, but had to or was forced to stop.

Meanwhile three more results just emerged on the 34B scan portal, 2 for Narok (Ruto wins) and one Nyamira (Odinga win), with no obvious problems, leaving only one seat missing and two illegible. This means that subject to verification (which presumably has happened behind the scenes but is not announced), Ruto has passed the point that he cannot lose.  He is 244K ahead with 227K votes uncounted.  My numbers are: