Five-Way Match Update
This is the first step, just to compare who won in each of the contests in each county
Iv adde MPs and am now starting on Women Rep to make a five way match. Already we can see a lot more cross-ticket choices, which is in my view a positive thing. Isiolo is odd in that it voted for Ruto presidentially but Azimio in all the other races. Needs checking. Samburu allegedly did the opposite - voted Raila in the presidency but UDA everywhere else. Needs Checking equally.
Once we have actual results for the downballot races including all candidates (which are very hard to get), we can compare the total votes cast in each election looking for outliers. Its almost impossible to rig all elections equally (and usually pointless), so we are looking for cases where the total number of votes cast differs in one contest from the others by a material margin - 3% and 5% have been suggested for Kenya (based on the reality that few people really vote for one but not the rest, but quite a number of people put 1 or more ballots in the wong boxes).
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Thoughts on anything Kenya, mostly political.