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An Occasional Kenya Blog

Governors - Final

15/8/2022

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Good morning all.

We now have the final Gubernatorial result for Narok, as predicted a close UDA win.
Picture
This leaves KK 22 to Azimio 21, with two independents and two to fill.

My eve of poll prediction (scroll far down) was this: (please ignore the second "key" on the right)
Picture

Overall I'm feeling pretty good. Excluding the two deferrals and Isiolo which i could not predict, I got 38/44 correct. Independents won two from the local preferred alliances, so there were four where a different alliance won from my prediction.
  • Kajiado Azimio gain - will be petitioned 
  • Trans-Nzoia Azimio gain - Natembeya won on a personal vote
  • Turkana Azimio gain - three way split but UDA was third.
  • Tharaka-Nithi KK gain - I though Professor Njoka had a chance vs the UDA-wave incorrectly.
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