• HOME
  • ETHICS & COMPLIANCE
    • E&C- Organisation, Tone, Culture
    • E&C - ABC, COI & AML
    • E&C - Antitrust & Competition Law
    • E&C - Fraud and Theft
    • E&C - Trade Controls & Sanctions
    • E&C - Data Privacy
    • E&C- Business & Country Risk
  • CYBER-SECURITY
  • KENYA
    • Multi-Party Politics in Kenya
    • Kenya: A History Since Independence
    • Other Writings on Kenya
    • Kenya Photographs
  • KENYA BLOG
  • BLOG
  • BIOGRAPHY
    • IT-Related Articles
  • CONTACT

An Occasional Kenya Blog

Presidential Tally and Prediction

12/8/2022

0 Comments

 
From the 34Bs - I have 152 valid from every county so we are heading towards the end game. Not much will change now (apart from the absolute numbers).
Picture
The ethno-regional results. Ruto doing well in Mombasa abong urban voters. Note the Luo and Kalenjin vote numbers overall (broad brush) roughly cancel each other out. So the election was about winning the other Kenyan communities over.
Picture
 The regional colour chart: only Tana River missing now. Yellow is 100% Ruto, royal blue 100% Raila, greens in between, darker = more Azimio
Picture
The Final Prediction

KANU (for Azimio) did well in Pokot areas so the % of Kalenjin for Ruto actually went down fractionally. otherwise little material change: Ruto by 3-4% (on a 66.1% overall turnout, that might still change a fraction down but it wont change the result)
Picture
0 Comments



Leave a Reply.

    Topics

    Thoughts on anything Kenya, mostly political.

    Archives

    February 2023
    January 2023
    October 2022
    September 2022
    August 2022
    July 2022
    June 2022
    March 2022
    January 2022
    December 2021
    June 2021
    April 2018
    March 2018
    February 2018
    January 2018
    December 2017

    Categories

    All

      To get new blog posts (if you aren't a Facebook friend):

      No marketing emails will be sent
    Enter
Copyright © 2023
  • HOME
  • ETHICS & COMPLIANCE
    • E&C- Organisation, Tone, Culture
    • E&C - ABC, COI & AML
    • E&C - Antitrust & Competition Law
    • E&C - Fraud and Theft
    • E&C - Trade Controls & Sanctions
    • E&C - Data Privacy
    • E&C- Business & Country Risk
  • CYBER-SECURITY
  • KENYA
    • Multi-Party Politics in Kenya
    • Kenya: A History Since Independence
    • Other Writings on Kenya
    • Kenya Photographs
  • KENYA BLOG
  • BLOG
  • BIOGRAPHY
    • IT-Related Articles
  • CONTACT