Presidential Tally and Prediction

From the 34Bs - I have 152 valid from every county so we are heading towards the end game. Not much will change now (apart from the absolute numbers).

The ethno-regional results. Ruto doing well in Mombasa abong urban voters. Note the Luo and Kalenjin vote numbers overall (broad brush) roughly cancel each other out. So the election was about winning the other Kenyan communities over.

 The regional colour chart: only Tana River missing now. Yellow is 100% Ruto, royal blue 100% Raila, greens in between, darker = more Azimio

The Final Prediction

KANU (for Azimio) did well in Pokot areas so the % of Kalenjin for Ruto actually went down fractionally. otherwise little material change: Ruto by 3-4% (on a 66.1% overall turnout, that might still change a fraction down but it wont change the result)