First update this morning with the 34Bs which came in overnight.
Rumour control: there were 14 more:
1 Homa Bay
1 West Pokot
249 forms are included in my analysis from the full 290 (of which 5 are illegible, so 244, or 84%).
Overall results; Ruto still 700K ahead and 5% points clear.
There are overall around 2.5 million votes left unreported (assuming the missing seats have similar 65% turnouts). To win, Odinga would require 1.6 million or 64% of the remaining votes.
Turnout: mostly reasonable. You are looking for sinuous shapes. Sudden discontinuities between constituencies of a similar nature indicate oddities to be investigated. Will be clearer when we fill some gaps.
The equal vote (1 box, 100,000 voters) county model: Mandera is anomalous for Azimio.
Ethno regional results: stable now as we are in the endgame.
Where the votes came from: again, the picture is becoming clearer. Ruto's votes came predominantly from Kalenjin, Kikuyu, Embu, Meru, Tharaka, Mbeere, Bukusu, Kuria constituencies, but with substantial contributions from Kamba, Kisii, other Luhya and Mijikenda. Odinga's votes came from the Luo, Kamba, non-Bukusu Luhya, Gusii, and parts of the Coast.
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Thoughts on anything Kenya, mostly political.