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An Occasional Kenya Blog

Presidentials Update

13/8/2022

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Another 10  34Bs have been uploaded, which is good news as they seemed to slow down. 
2 Bungoma
1 Embu
1 Kiambu
1 Kisii
1 Mandera
1 Meru
2 Nairobi
1 Taita Taveta
also, the correct Kamukunji has now been uploaded.


Kabete is an unsigned non-standard form. but Odinga did better than average there
Voi 34B is truncated - last page only, useless.


So, we are at 258 - 7 total reported by IEBC but there but actually unusuable. so 251/290=87%

Result:
Ruto has stretched lead to 750K (6%).


There are 39 seats undeclared or unusable (plus diaspora), with about 3m registered voters still. With a 65% turnout, that suggests we don't have around 1.9 m votes. Too big to make any declaration still but to win Raila would have to win 1.3m of the remaining votes (68%). [corrected calculation]

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