The Four Parliamentary by-elections on 29 August went well for Azimio and poorly for Kenya Kwanza.
As expected UDA won Rongai in Nakuru, ending the Moi "dynasty" with the defeat of the last family member Raymond, but lost both Pokot seats to KUP candidates (KUP is a local Pokot party but Azimio-affiliated so far) and as expected lost Kitui Rural to Wiper.
With one other typo corrected (Kilifi North I had wrongly recorded as ODM not UDA) this is the current stage of the parties. I've assigned all independents (who have declared a side now) to their relevant alliance and moved UDM, NAPK, one UPIA MP and MDG from Azimio to Kenya Kwanza to match their recent defections.
This gives KK a narrow majority of 17. Enough to win set pieces like the Speakership but not enough to govern reliably.