In a secret ballot, on 8 September 2022 ex-Minister and newly elected Bungoma Senator Moses Wetang'ula (candidate for Kenya Kwanza) was decisively elected as House Speaker, beating his Azimio opponent (and ex-Speaker) Kenneth Marende by 215 votes to 130 (62%-38%).

This was a significantly higher margin of victory that the status of the two alliances formally would suggest (roughly 184-165, including one additional "defection" to work with Kenya Kwanza by a KANU Rift Valley MP).  Thirty more MPs voted for Wetang'ula than a party line would suggest, indicating either that Wetang'ula has strong personal support amongst ODM or DAP-K MPs in Western, or that other groups have made unpublished deals with William Ruto and allies.

Wetangula's candidacy required him to fail to take up his role as Bungoma Senator, resulting in the seat being declared vacant and a by-election. Unless internal battles between UDA and Ford-Kenya results in two competing candidates, this should be an easy victory for Kenya Kwanza.

For the avoidance of doubt, I'm not posting anything directly on the ongoing petition case at the Supreme Court, as its messy enough as it is. The evidence presented has to stand and win alone.