Blog Analytics and What Comes Next

15/8/2022

Dear all,

My Kenya blog mostly trundles on with few postings and few readers, as I only post when i have something to say and some reason to say it. With the election itself and the sometimes controversial analyses and predictions I made, it did increase sharply. During the period of confusion as results first started to come out and no-one fully knew what was happening, there were lots of people reading. Readership peaked on 10 August with 1600 unique visitors.

in demographics, there's not much to see but Google was the number one source by a long way, while Twitter was no.2 and Facebook no.3.

Át the end of today I'll be shutting down the online blog and reverting to ad hoc and when needed.

I will post a full analysis of all the results here in due course and then work on the five way match as a tool to detect obvious anomalies, but the current results available for down ballot races are too incomplete to make it practical. IEBC: we need a portal for the other elections results.

Waiting for the presidentials !

4 Comments

15/8/2022 11:24:11

5 way tool is great but I wonder if you could use Benford's Law to discover any anomalies -

https://ibmathsresources.com/2021/10/06/spotting-fake-data-with-benfords-law/

All the best !

Charles

15/8/2022 12:37:00

Yes, this is one of the endgame techniques anyone can use. at the moment only the presidential dataset is good enough so its only a question of time till someone tries.

Mike M

15/8/2022 11:29:19

Charles, your blog has been spot on! Right from predictions to tallying. Every Kenyan should read your book on the history of Kenya!!

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An Occasional Kenya Blog

Blog Analytics and What Comes Next

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