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An Occasional Kenya Blog

Blog Analytics and What Comes Next

15/8/2022

4 Comments

 
Dear all,

​My Kenya blog mostly trundles on with few postings and few readers, as I only post when i have something to say and some reason to say it. With the election itself and the sometimes controversial analyses and predictions I made, it did increase sharply. During the period of confusion as results first started to come out and no-one fully knew what was happening, there were lots of people reading. Readership peaked on 10 August with 1600 unique visitors.
Picture
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in demographics, there's not much to see but Google was the number one source by a long way, while Twitter was no.2 and Facebook no.3.

Át the end of today I'll be shutting down the online blog and reverting to ad hoc and when needed.

I will post a full analysis of all the results here in due course and then work on the five way match as a tool to detect obvious anomalies, but the current results available for down ballot races are too incomplete to make it practical. IEBC: we need a portal for the other elections results.

​Waiting for the presidentials !
4 Comments
DP
15/8/2022 11:24:11

5 way tool is great but I wonder if you could use Benford's Law to discover any anomalies -

https://ibmathsresources.com/2021/10/06/spotting-fake-data-with-benfords-law/

All the best !

Reply
Charles
15/8/2022 12:37:00

Yes, this is one of the endgame techniques anyone can use. at the moment only the presidential dataset is good enough so its only a question of time till someone tries.

Reply
Mike M
15/8/2022 11:29:19

Charles, your blog has been spot on! Right from predictions to tallying. Every Kenyan should read your book on the history of Kenya!!

Reply
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  • HOME
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    • E&C- Organisation, Tone, Culture
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