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An Occasional Kenya Blog

Presidential Endgame

14/8/2022

1 Comment

 
We are moving into the endgame now. The vast majority of the 34Bs have been validated and announced, but the whereabouts of 13 constituency 34B returns five days after the polls closed is still unexplained. No new 34 scans have been uploaded in five hours except for the tiny Diaspora vote.

Meanwhile i've 166 checked scan versus final for differences, and there has been some news:

Cherangani (Trans-Nzoia) verification added 5000 votes to Ruto's total
Juja (Kiambu) increased Raila's total from 23,200 (on the form ) to 32,197, a huge 9000 increase. This give Juja the highest turnout in the region which is a little concerning late in the day. Needs checking please Bomas.
Picture
Picture
Mvita 34B has been loaded in place of Kisauni 34b in the portal. We didnt have Kisauni (but do now in the verification), and we also have Mvita.

​Status
350K ahead for Ruto, 48.3% to 51%. Raila needs 72% of the remaining (estd) votes to win.
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1 Comment
Jackson
14/8/2022 16:46:13

Charles,
Yours analysis is very balanced, unlike our media which is in fear mode. May be you can inform us how many constiuencies you have tallies so far and list the ones remaining. That could help us discern for ourselves the eventuality of this race even before the final tally.

Reply



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